NEITI: Federation Inflows Declined 23% in Q2, 2023 

Emmanuel Addeh in Abuja

The Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) has disclosed that revenue inflows to the local government councils, states and the federal government declined by 23 per cent in the second quarter of this year.

The three tiers of government in Nigeria also shared a total of N4.37 trillion from the Federation Account as statutory revenue allocations between January and June 2023, NEITI stated.

The information was contained in the latest report by NEITI on the Federation Account revenue allocations for the first half of the year, a statement by the organisation noted last night.

The Executive Secretary of NEITI, Dr. Ogbonnanya Orji, who announced the release of the report at the NEITI House, Abuja, said total distributable FAAC allocations to the three tiers of government in the first and second quarters of 2023 stood at over N2.32 trillion and N2.04 trillion respectively.

The NEITI quarterly review revealed that inflows into the Federation Account in the second quarter of 2023 declined by 23 per cent, a situation which affected the distributable revenue which fell by 12 per cent when compared with the total revenue disbursed in the first quarter.

Each tier of government received more than N1 trillion over the six-month period, it said.

A breakdown of the revenue receipts showed that the federal government received about N1.78 trillion, or 40.7 per cent, while the state governments received N1.5 trillion, or 34.5 per cent, and the local government councils, N1.08 trillion or 24.8 per cent of the total distributable revenue for the period.

NEITI further disclosed that a comparative analysis of the total allocations on a year-on-year basis in the corresponding quarters of 2022 and 2023 showed that the distributable revenue of N4.366 trillion shared by the three tiers of government between January and June 2023 was higher by about 16.7 per cent from about N4.05 trillion shared in the corresponding period in 2022.

Consequently, the report revealed that the allocation received by the federal government over the period under review increased by 19.8 per cent to N1.78 trillion in 2023, from the N1.48 trillion in the corresponding period in 2022.

“Similarly, allocations to the state governments grew by about 11.2 per cent to N1.42 trillion in 2023 from N1.26 trillion in 2022, while allocations to the local government councils rose by 16.8 per cent to N1.08 trillion in 2023, from N926 billion in 2022,” it stated.

The report said the increase in half-yearly allocations in 2023 was consistent with an upward trend from the previous period where the distributable revenue for the first half of the year rose by 16.7 per cent, from N3.47 trillion between January and June 2021 to N4.05 trillion in the corresponding period in 2022.

“Also, allocations to the Federal, States and Local Government Councils increased across the board by 8.8 per cent, 26.5 per cent and 14.2 per cent respectively.

“However, compared to the same period in 2022, the report showed that FAAC distribution in the second quarter of 2023 declined in absolute value, with total distributable revenue of N2.02 trillion being less by 13 per cent than about N2.16 trillion distributed in the second quarter of 2022,” it added.

The NEITI data showed that the disbursements to the states indicated that Delta state received the highest allocation of N102.79 billion in the second quarter of 2023, followed by Akwa Ibom N70.01 billion, Rivers N69.73 billion, Lagos N60.64 billion and Bayelsa N56.34 billion.

 The total disbursements to these five states (N359.5 billion), or 35.9 per cent of the total FAAC allocations, it said, was more than the total allocations to the next 15 states (N349.3 billion), while the cumulative allocation to the five states was also more than the share of allocation to 19 other states put together. The bottom 10 states received 17.3 per cent of the revenue shared in the second quarter of 2023.

“Nasarawa, Ebonyi, Ekiti, Gombe and Taraba states received the lowest allocations of N16.71 billion, N16.84 billion, N16.95 billion, N17.22 billion and N17.45 billion respectively,” NEITI stressed.

The report said that four of the five states with the highest allocations, except Lagos, received a significant share of 13 per cent derivation revenue allocated to oil-producing states.

The NEITI report stated that the bulk of the revenues to the federation account came from remittances from the three main revenue-generating agencies, Nigeria Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) and the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS).

The revenues, it pointed out, came through earnings from the different revenue streams, including oil and gas royalties, petroleum profit tax, company income tax, value added tax and import & excise duties.

“Also, revenue remittances of about N1.84 trillion in Q2 2023 came from mineral and non-mineral sources, comprising of N809 billion, or 44 per cent from mineral revenue (mostly oil and gas) and N1.03 trillion, or 56 per cent  from non-mineral sources,” the initiative explained.

The report noted a huge gap between revenue disbursements from the oil and gas and solid minerals sectors, pointing out that this was a reflection of the perennial underperformance of the latter over the years.

In terms of debt service obligations and the impacts on states’ net allocations, the report showed that Lagos topped the list of 36 states with a total deduction of N9.03 billion in the second quarter of 2023, followed by Delta (N6.76 billion), Ogun (N6.10 billion), Kaduna (N5.63 billion), Osun (N5.60 billion and Imo (N5.51 billion).

Jigawa, Anambra, Nassarawa, Kebbi and Enugu States had the lowest deductions of N1.16 billion, N1.29 billion, N1.45 billion, N1.51 billion and N1.88 billion respectively.

The nine oil-producing states, according to the report, namely Abia, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bayelsa, Delta, Edo, Imo, Ondo and Rivers states received allocations relative to their share of the oil and gas as well as other minerals extracted from their domains.

“Other states of the federation where solid minerals are exploited did not receive derivation revenue for the period,” it noted.

The lack of solid mineral revenue disbursement either for derivation purpose or statutory disbursement by other federation entities, the report said, was due to the fact that solid minerals revenues remitted to the Federation Account was not significant enough to be shared among the federal government as well as all the states and local governments, including the Federal Capital Territory.

The NEITI report pointed out that Q3 2023 revenue projection would not differ too much from Q2 performance even with the crude oil output averaging 1.387 million barrels per day in June and July, and the average crude oil price at $83.03 per barrel between June 1 and August 15, 2023.

It attributed this to the Federation Account disbursements that would be based on revenues earned in June, July and August.   

The report observed that the volume of distributable funds from the Federation Account in the third quarter of 2023 would be significantly and positively affected considering the two major fiscal and monetary policy decisions by the present administration by way of the removal of fuel subsidy and the unification/floating of the foreign exchange rate,

“NEITI projects that with efficient, prudent management and utilisation of the savings of N3.6 trillion from subsidy payment in the first six months of 2023, Nigeria’s balance of payments would be boosted as demand which is served entirely by product importation would be curtailed.

 “The drop in demand would inadvertently, trigger a corresponding reduction in the dollar volume needed to pay for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), which constitutes the largest single import product by value,” the report noted.

The NEITI report welcomed with high expectations, the unification and the floating of the exchange rate policy recently introduced to strengthen and stabilise the economy.

With the average exchange rate of N713.69 to US$1, which is about 55 per cent higher than the rate of N460.52 to the dollar recorded during the second quarter, the report said this would significantly raise the value of export earnings remitted to the Federation Account by more than 50 per cent.

“Also earnings from the new exchange rate through exports would also increase the value of foreign capital inflows, including investments, loans and grants,” it emphasised.

The NEITI Quarterly FAAC Review cautioned that care should be taken to ensure that the exchange rate unification and float policy does not create the problems that it intends to solve in helping to maintain the new levels of PMS prices or disrupt the deregulation policy in the downstream sector.

To ensure improved Federation Account performance, the report recommended the adoption of more realistic and conservative budgetary benchmark estimates in terms of crude oil production and prices in view of oil price volatility in the international market.

Also, the report urged the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN )to prioritise policies to stabilise the exchange rate to facilitate the effective implementation of the deregulation policy and stabilising foreign exchange-dependent inflows into the Federation Account.