Tinubu Launches Bid to Raise Oil Output By 1m bpd in 12 Months

*IOCs, indigenous producers, banks back FG’s plan*NUPRC approves Seplat-Mobil, Total-Telema divestment deals

*Confirms rejection of Shell-Renaissance $1.3bn transaction

*Elumelu calls for improved security, infrastructure renewal

*Lokpobiri, Ekperikpe assure oil producers of FG’s willingness to resolve knotty issues

Emmanuel Addeh in Abuja

In a renewed bid to grow Nigeria’s crude oil output significantly in the next 12 months, President Bola Tinubu yesterday launched the ‘1MMBOPD’ Initiative meant to raise production by 1 million barrels per day, by harnessing dormant oil assets and optimising existing ones.

At the event in Abuja, which coincided with the 3rd anniversary of the establishment of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), International Oil Companies (IOCs), indigenous oil producers, banks and oil and gas service providers pledged to support the federal government in the new efforts.

The programme organised by the NUPRC was themed: “Transformation, Innovation & Excellence“ and featured the ‘who is who’ in the country’s oil, gas and banking sectors.

Tinubu stressed that his policy interventions in the oil industry were beginning to bear fruits, expressing confidence in the long-term benefits of the industry’s policy reforms for the good of the country’s over 200 million people.

Represented by the Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Senator George Akume, the president noted that even though the oil and gas industry had long been the lifeblood of Nigeria’s national economy, the current administration was working tirelessly to change this and diversify the economy from over-reliance on the production of fossil fuels.

However, Tinubu noted that his administration was also determined to maximise its revenue potential from the country’s nature-endowed hydrocarbon resources while focusing on decarbonisation approaches to oil and gas production.

“A renewed drive to economic diversification using the oil and gas industry has evolved, and remains on track to expand government revenue and deploy it to generate employment, eliminate poverty, and grow our gross domestic product in the spirit of shared prosperity.

“We have set a clear roadmap for the oil and gas sector to deepen value from the nation’s substantial resource potential and create opportunities for investors, both local and foreign. Since I declared that Nigeria is indeed open for business, I am delighted that we have witnessed the major financial and investment decisions in the sector across the value  chain since then.

“To this end, we must work concertedly to create vibrancy across the sector of oil and gas production to meet domestic and international needs and shore up our foreign exchange. The two-pronged target is necessary to deliver the dividends of good government for our people and justify the trust reposed in us by the citizens during these trying times.

“Early on, we took decisive steps to vacate the encumbrances of investment in the oil and gas sector and entrench the ease of real business. We have issued five executive orders to provide fiscal incentives for investment in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector. We are working with the legislative arm of government to fully implement some of these reforms, as statutory changes will be required in some areas,” he stated.
The president congratulated all active oil and gas industry players for the modest gains in oil production, which he said has now risen to 1.6 million barrels per day.

According to him, ‘Project 1 million bpd’ is a giant step forward for the oil and gas industry, designed to grow sustainably in direct response to his charge to increase production. He explained that by enhancing domestic energy security and supporting economic vibrancy, the initiative will ensure that Nigeria remains a crucial player in the global energy landscape amid the worldwide energy transition.

“ Increased oil production will lead to more job opportunities, increased revenue for the government, and a more stable energy supply for our dear citizens. The project is not just a government one, but a collaborative undertaking involving major producers, service providers, financiers, and other key stakeholders.

“These commitments will be critical in ensuring that we achieve our incremental targets in the next 12 months, growing not just the production levels but also increasing the efficiency and competitiveness of our industry.

“ There will be challenges along the way, such as technical issues, market fluctuations, and regulatory burdens, but with our collective efforts, we are confident that we can overcome these challenges and achieve our goal,” Tinubu emphasised.

In his presentation, the Commission Chief Executive, NUPRC, Gbenga Komolafe, said that in the last three years, the commission had made significant strides towards attaining critical goals despite the persistent challenges of the global push for energy transition and the call for defunding of fossil fuel.

He listed them as development of regulations, growth in oil and gas reserves, rise in level of upstream activities, conclusion of the 2020 marginal bid round and issuance of awards with an anticipated 60,000 bpd and 90MMscfd of incremental oil and gas production, among others.

To enhance investment attractiveness and improve global competitiveness, the licensing framework for the ongoing bid rounds, Komolafe said, was optimised  to vacate entry barriers and eliminate huge asset acquisition fees.

On energy sustainability, decarbonisation and environment stewardship, he stated that the NUPRC has retooled its regulatory instruments to incorporate emissions reductions.

At the event, the NUPRC also announced the approval of the much awaited $1.28 billion Seplat-Mobil divestment transaction as well as TotalEnergies EP Nigeria deal with Telema Energies.

“Divestment is an acknowledged practice and within the right of investors in business decisions globally.  In recognition of this, as a nation, Nigeria is fully committed to the philosophy of free entry and free exit as further reiterated by our dear  President Tinubu on October 1, 2024, speech.

“A total of four (representing 80 per cent) passed regulatory test and secured ministerial consent. The transactions are:  Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited (MPNU) to Seplat Energy Offshore Limited; Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited to Project Odinmin Investments Limited; Nigerian Agip Oil Company Limited to Oando Petroleum and Natural Gas Company Limited  and TotalEnergies EP Nigeria Limited to Telema Energies Nigeria Limited.

“However, the divestment of Shell Petroleum Development Company Limited’s assets to Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited could not scale regulatory test,” Komolafe said, confirming THISDAY’s story earlier on the rejection of the $1.3 billion bid.

Also speaking, Chairman Heirs Holdings, UBA and Transcorp Groups, Tony Elumelu, said that Nigeria is currently faced with the threat of declining production and investment.

“We must acknowledge the elephant in the room. Nigeria’s oil production has been on a downward trajectory, falling from peaks of over 2 million barrels per day to recent lows, below 1.5 million. This decline translates to lost revenues, reduced global market share, and missed opportunities for national development.

“The root causes are multifaceted: Aging infrastructure, security challenges in the Niger Delta, stalled investments, regulatory uncertainties, and a global shift towards renewable energy that has compounded the investment challenge.

“These factors, combined, threaten the very foundation of our economy, as we are heavily dependent on oil. As a nation, we cannot permit this to continue, and squander our inheritance and betray our next generation,” Elumelu stated.

He highlighted that this is where ‘Project 1MMBOPD’ is so critical, a crucial part of the solution to unlocking the next phase of Nigeria’s development.

“By targeting to grow production by 1 million barrels of oil per day from current levels, we are setting a clear and challenging goal. To be sustainable, this initiative should go beyond just increasing production; it should catalyse a comprehensive strategy to revitalise our entire upstream sector,” he observed.

He listed infrastructure modernisation, security enhancement, regulatory streamlining, investment attraction, technology adoption as some of the measures to optimise production.

“By addressing these areas comprehensively, we will not only aim to reach the 1MMBOPD target but also to create a sustainable framework for future growth. As we embark on this ambitious project to boost our oil production, let us also keep our focus on the critical role of gas in our energy mix.

“The path to 1MMBOPD must be constructed on strategies that maximise the value of our gas resources, reducing flaring and increasing utilisation for domestic and export markets,” he added.

At Heirs Energies, in the first 100 days after the company took over operational control of its OML-17 asset in 2021, he said the company doubled its production from 28,000 to over 50,000 barrels per day.

However, he added: “We suffered a setback with unabated crude theft, which caused us to shut-in and work collaboratively with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC)  to better secure the pipeline system.

“From a low of 5 per cent terminal receipts in December 2021, year-to-date in 2024, we have recorded an average terminal receipt of 85 per cent; a remarkable improvement and a good example of what a purposeful collaboration between NNPC and operators underpinned by rigorous execution can deliver.

“With the improvement in the operating environment, we have restarted our investment and production growth journey, and have now successfully reversed the fall in production that we suffered in 2022 and 2023, as a consequence of the evacuation challenges. A few days ago, OML-17 attained over 51,000 barrels per day, and we continue our production growth journey.”

Also speaking, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, said that it was time to walk the talk, noting that the oil industry must move beyond powerpoint presentations.

“Whatever we need to do, we have a clear roadmap, a specific timeline. And indeed, a very specific contracting process. We think our environment is today very competitive for producing oil.

“The second part of it is about the contracting. As we know, it is very good to have Nigerian content and Nigerian contractors should be encouraged to build local companies. Everybody agrees to this. But it has created a new challenge.

“And what the executive order did is to bring them (service providers) back. So that when you are going to have local partners, they must be specific around what they are going to do. So that instead of carrying a briefcase, the people will now be doing specific things.

“And we have now engaged many of these critical contractors, and many of them are on their way back into our country. And we have substantial indications that they will do this. And lastly, why would anyone put his money into our country, into our assets, when he is not sure of evacuating the production? And the onshore in particular, nobody would do it.

“So we agree that we must replace the pipeline infrastructure. There is no alternative. The best of intention, the best of security intervention will still give you probably 50 per cent of the installed capacity today,” he argued.

At the programme, the Minister of State (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri and his counterpart in the Ministry of Gas, Ekperikpe Ekpo, assured the industry players of government’s willingness to clear all the existing bottlenecks.

Lokpobiri stressed that the set target of an additional 1 million barrels per day was achievable, assuring of the president’s political will to get things done.

The chief executives of major oil producers, including those of Shell; Total Energies; ExxonMobil; Chevron; Oando; Agip as well as independent producers like First E&P; Waltersmith; Oriental Energy Resources; Seplat, Heirs Energy and Matrix Energy all pledged to ensure that the new target is achieved.

In addition, funders and strategic service providers like UBA; Geoplex, Standard Chartered Bank; Mercurial  and SLB all promised to work to ensure that the oil industry in the country is revamped.